Archive for the ‘Prediction markets’ Category

Freakonomics lance un ersatz de prediction market

Friday, March 28th, 2008

Freakonomics le blog crée dans la suite du fameux livre de Steven D. Levitt et Stephen J. Dubner, a souvent écrit des articles sur les prediction markets. Ils viennent de lancer le Freakonomics prediction center, leur propre plateforme de prediction market développé par Predictify. malheureusement le Freakonomics prediction center n'a rien ...

Les Marchés de prévisions / Prediction markets, outils de stratégie d’entreprise

Thursday, March 27th, 2008

Inkling Markets a une reflexion interessante sur l'utilisation des prediction markets / marchés de prévisions comme outils pour aider les entreprises a définir des stratégies a court et moyen terme. "L'utilisation des prediction markets comme élément de la planification stratégique apporterai une part de réalité fort souhaitable au processus. Les marché ...

Slate’s guide to all the political markets.

Monday, March 17th, 2008

Slate has launched a global political market guide : Slate's guide to all the political markets. Putting together resultst from major political markets: Iowa Electronic Markets, Intrade.com, Newsfutures.com, and Casualobserver.net, Slate will publish regular updates of the key data of these different prediction markets platforms until Election Day 2008. The ground ...

Scientific american on Prediction markets

Monday, March 17th, 2008

Scientific American Magazine has a long article on prediction markets foussing on theirr bility to outperform polls. Far from the recent hype and burgeonning in prediction amrkets, Scientific American goes back to the beginning of the Iowa Political Stock Market and addresses the how and why and the critiques of ...

Agile Project Estimating by Playing Poker

Monday, February 18th, 2008

An interesting wisdom of crowds like application to estimating software development workload in Agile projects. Wisdom of crowds designates the process by which decisions and estimations are made as a result of a consensus between participants. Prediction Markets are a good example of consensus type process of estimation. Get people together ...