Darjeelink - Alexis Perrier

Les prediction markets ont le vent en poupe

Le secteur flambe. Chaque semaine ou presque voit un nouveau site naître se réclamant des marchés prédictifs.

• 9 Juillet Financial Times : The Financial Times recently launched FT Predict, a prediction market game where users trade contracts on political, financial, and legal current events. http://www.ftpredict.com/

• 22 août BluBet et GuessNow : bien que n’étant pas a proprement parler des prediction market, ces 2 sites de paris s’y réfèrent pour se présenter : “Ultimately, we believe BluBet will be the place to go to gain insights on any major event, whether in sports, entertainment, finance, or current events. A simple user-experience makes BluBet the prediction market for the rest of us.”. Article sur BluBet ,

• 18 Septembre : National Journal Group, Washington’s leading publisher of political and policy news and analysis, announced today the launch of the National Journal Political Stock Exchange (NJPSE), a fantasy political stock market located on NationalJournal.com that will allow players to put their political knowledge to the test by predicting specific outcomes related to a wide range of political events, including all angles of the highly contested 2008 presidential campaign. http://tinyurl.com/2kxs4b

• 20 septembre Bet2give.com : A brand new real-money prediction market that turns online betting on its head by combining it with online giving. Communique de presse sur le Blog de Newsfuture

• 18 septembre eLab Exchange : The Sloan Center for Internet Retailing, part of the University of California, Riverside, will announce a new Web site tomorrow relying on so-called prediction markets to foretell online sales and other Internet-related trends, like the shopping sites most likely to survive[...] In doing so, the Sloan Center is adopting a method of online research that off-line companies have used widely in recent months, but one that is not in broad use to study Internet sales. Article du NY times